مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kamil Majchrzak v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

البداية: 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.01%1.30السعر العادل
EV +31.69%
الأفضلية +18.53%
Kelly +44.64%
النمو +14.15%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.73%73.44%76.85%79.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.351.251.7185.47%73.91%80.00%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.99%4.35السعر العادل
EV +6.66%
الأفضلية +1.43%
Kelly +1.83%
النمو +0.122%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.55%26.56%23.15%43.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.153.493.804.6446.51%28.62%26.32%21.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV +31.69%E +18.53%K +44.64%G +14.15%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 19:14
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +30.15%E +17.84%K +43.70%G +13.18%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 19:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +30.15%E +17.84%K +43.70%G +13.18%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 19:08
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -48.97%E -22.06%K -40.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:04
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:04
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:09
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:08
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +27.84%E +16.77%K +42.19%G +11.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:05
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV +27.07%E +16.41%K +41.65%G +11.28%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -48.05%E -21.26%K -38.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +27.07%E +16.41%K +41.65%G +11.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:08
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -48.05%E -21.26%K -38.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -50.58%E -23.53%K -43.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:05
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -50.58%E -23.53%K -43.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +24.76%E +15.29%K +39.94%G +9.89%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -47.13%E -20.49%K -36.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +24.76%E +15.29%K +39.94%G +9.89%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:15
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV +20.91%E +13.32%K +36.69%G +7.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:09
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.652%E -0.506%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.652%E -0.506%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.85%E -6.43%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:15
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.96%E -2.35%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:20
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -18.40%E -5.18%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034%4.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.335%G +0.004%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:15
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV +6.66%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.122%4.9%2026-03-05 19:20
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -8.35%E -7.02%K -43.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -0.470%E -0.108%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.29%EV -8.35%E -7.02%K -43.97%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -11.96%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 19:18
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034%7.0%2026-03-05 19:18
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.89%E -8.46%K -58.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034%7.7%2026-03-05 19:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-03-05 19:20