La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniil Medvedev v Jannik Sinner
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniil Medvedev (Casa)
Previsione 24.15%4.14quota equa
EV +11.10%
Vantaggio +2.41%
Kelly +3.08%
Crescita +0.342%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.83%24.02%24.33%25.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.004.004.6027.03%24.98%25.00%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)
Previsione 75.85%1.32quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -7.43%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.45%75.98%75.67%79.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.23%80.00%77.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +11.10%E +2.41%K +3.08%G +0.342% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.98%E -7.48%K -44.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +6.27%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV +2.89%E +0.677%K +0.885%G +0.026% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.64%E +0.622%K +0.813%G +0.022% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 20:58 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.979%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.46%E -0.358%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.540%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Fliff | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| GTbets | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 20:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 20:52 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Betsson | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 20:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Novig | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |