La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV +11.10%
Ventaja +2.41%
Kelly +3.08%
Crecimiento +0.342%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.83%24.02%24.33%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.004.004.6027.03%24.98%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 75.85%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -7.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.45%75.98%75.67%79.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.23%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +11.10%E +2.41%K +3.08%G +0.342% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.98%E -7.48%K -44.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +6.27%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV +2.89%E +0.677%K +0.885%G +0.026% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.64%E +0.622%K +0.813%G +0.022% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 20:58 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.979%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.46%E -0.358%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.540%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Fliff | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| GTbets | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 20:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 20:52 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Betsson | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 20:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Novig | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 21:05 |