L’École des cotes

Daniil Medvedev v Jannik Sinner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 24.15%4.14cote équitable
EV +11.10%
Avantage +2.41%
Kelly +3.08%
Croissance +0.342%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.83%24.02%24.33%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.004.004.6027.03%24.98%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.85%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -7.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.45%75.98%75.67%79.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.23%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +11.10%E +2.41%K +3.08%G +0.342%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.98%E -7.48%K -44.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Pinnacle4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +6.27%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 21:00
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV +2.89%E +0.677%K +0.885%G +0.026%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:00
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.64%E +0.622%K +0.813%G +0.022%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 20:58
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:05
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:05
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:05
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.979%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.46%E -0.358%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 20:59
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.540%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:05
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 20:59
Marathon Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:05
Betr (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:05
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:00
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 21:00
GTbets3.87I 25.84%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 21:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 20:58
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 20:52
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 21:00
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 20:59
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 21:00
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 20:55
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%1.9%2026-03-15 21:05