مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniil Medvedev v Jannik Sinner

البداية: 2026-03-15 21:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.15%4.14السعر العادل
EV +11.10%
الأفضلية +2.41%
Kelly +3.08%
النمو +0.342%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.83%24.02%24.33%25.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.004.004.6027.03%24.98%25.00%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jannik Sinner (الضيف)

التنبؤ 75.85%1.32السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -7.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.45%75.98%75.67%79.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.23%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +11.10%E +2.41%K +3.08%G +0.342%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +8.68%E +1.93%K +2.48%G +0.215%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.98%E -7.48%K -44.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Pinnacle4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +6.27%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 21:00
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV +2.89%E +0.677%K +0.885%G +0.026%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:00
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.64%E +0.622%K +0.813%G +0.022%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 20:58
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:05
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.44%E +0.342%K +0.449%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:05
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.470%E +0.113%K +0.149%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:05
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.979%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.46%E -0.358%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 20:59
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.540%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:05
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.39%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 20:59
Marathon Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:05
Betr (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.60%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:05
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:00
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 21:00
GTbets3.87I 25.84%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 21:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:00
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 20:58
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 20:52
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 21:00
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.28%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 20:59
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 21:00
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 20:55
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 21:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%1.9%2026-03-15 21:05