赔率学院

Carlos Alcaraz v Casper Ruud

开赛时间: 2026-03-11 22:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (主队)

预测 93.59%1.07公平赔率
EV +2.01%
优势 +1.84%
Kelly +22.34%
增长率 +0.449%

假设最高赔率为 1.09

博彩公司预测分布
87.14%93.16%93.69%96.26%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.001.031.021.09100.00%97.16%98.04%91.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

Casper Ruud (客队)

预测 6.41%15.60公平赔率
EV +66.71%
优势 +2.57%
Kelly +2.67%
增长率 +1.78%

假设最高赔率为 26.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.74%6.84%6.31%12.86%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
7.2513.8213.2526.0013.79%7.24%7.55%3.85%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +66.71%E +2.57%K +2.67%G +1.78%2.9%2026-03-11 22:15
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +60.30%E +2.41%K +2.51%G +1.52%2.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.48%E +2.06%K +2.16%G +1.02%3.4%2026-03-11 22:15
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.65%E +1.65%K +1.73%G +0.600%2.8%2026-03-11 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420%3.0%2026-03-11 22:14
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420%4.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420%4.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -3.60%E -3.50%K -120.15%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265%2.4%2026-03-11 22:15
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265%3.3%2026-03-11 22:15
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.41%E -6.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265%5.3%2026-03-11 22:15
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051%4.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051%4.9%2026-03-11 22:15
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051%4.9%2026-03-11 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +2.59%E +0.162%K +0.173%G +0.004%4.3%2026-03-11 22:15
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.59%E +0.162%K +0.173%G +0.004%5.3%2026-03-11 22:14
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Casumo1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -8.63%E -0.605%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:15
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.23%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:14
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.23%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:15
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.44%E -0.995%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:15
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 22:14
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:15
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:14
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:14
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:13
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:15
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -26.26%E -2.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 22:13
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.47%E -2.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.47%E -2.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-11 22:13
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.91%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.09%EV -35.24%E -3.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 22:11
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -36.20%E -3.64%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:00
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.95%EV +2.01%E +1.84%K +22.34%G +0.449%9.76I 10.25%NM 10.05%EV -37.42%E -3.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-11 22:05
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -39.08%E -4.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 21:40
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -39.98%E -4.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 21:41
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -39.98%E -4.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 21:41
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 89.50%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000%9.04I 11.06%NM 10.50%EV -42.03%E -4.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:00
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV +1.07%E +0.995%K +13.44%G +0.144%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:41
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:55
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 22:00
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -48.70%E -6.09%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +1.07%E +0.995%K +13.44%G +0.144%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -51.91%E -6.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 22:00
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -51.91%E -6.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 22:04
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.51%E -7.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.51%E -7.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:41
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-03-11 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-03-11 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 96.14%25.64I 3.90%NM 3.86%1.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.7%2026-03-11 22:15