Langue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Casper Ruud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 93.59%1.07cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +22.34%
Croissance +0.449%
avec la cote maximale 1.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.14%93.16%93.69%96.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.031.021.09100.00%97.16%98.04%91.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.41%15.60cote équitable
EV +66.71%
Avantage +2.57%
Kelly +2.67%
Croissance +1.78%
avec la cote maximale 26.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.74%6.84%6.31%12.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.2513.8213.2526.0013.79%7.24%7.55%3.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Carlos Alcaraz (Local) : 93.59% ; Casper Ruud (Visiteur) : 6.41%. Pour Casper Ruud (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 15.60. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 26.00, soit une espérance positive de +66.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +66.71%E +2.57%K +2.67%G +1.78% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +60.30%E +2.41%K +2.51%G +1.52% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.48%E +2.06%K +2.16%G +1.02% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.65%E +1.65%K +1.73%G +0.600% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -3.60%E -3.50%K -120.15%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.41%E -6.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +2.59%E +0.162%K +0.173%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.59%E +0.162%K +0.173%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -8.63%E -0.605%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.23%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.23%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.44%E -0.995%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -26.26%E -2.28%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.47%E -2.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.47%E -2.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.91%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.09%EV -35.24%E -3.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 22:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -36.20%E -3.64%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.95%EV +2.01%E +1.84%K +22.34%G +0.449% | 9.76I 10.25%NM 10.05%EV -37.42%E -3.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -39.08%E -4.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -39.98%E -4.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -39.98%E -4.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.50%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.04I 11.06%NM 10.50%EV -42.03%E -4.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV +1.07%E +0.995%K +13.44%G +0.144% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -48.70%E -6.09%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +1.07%E +0.995%K +13.44%G +0.144% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -51.91%E -6.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -51.91%E -6.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.51%E -7.38%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.51%E -7.38%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.14% | 25.64I 3.90%NM 3.86% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 1.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |