La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carlos Alcaraz v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Predicción 93.59%1.07momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +22.34%
Crecimiento +0.449%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.14%93.16%93.69%96.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.031.021.09100.00%97.16%98.04%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 6.41%15.60momio equitativo
EV +66.71%
Ventaja +2.57%
Kelly +2.67%
Crecimiento +1.78%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 26.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.74%6.84%6.31%12.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.2513.8213.2526.0013.79%7.24%7.55%3.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +66.71%E +2.57%K +2.67%G +1.78% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +60.30%E +2.41%K +2.51%G +1.52% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.48%E +2.06%K +2.16%G +1.02% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.65%E +1.65%K +1.73%G +0.600% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.24%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.420% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -3.60%E -3.50%K -120.15%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betway | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.41%E -6.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +21.83%E +1.15%K +1.21%G +0.265% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 888sport | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.01%E +0.530%K +0.563%G +0.051% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +2.59%E +0.162%K +0.173%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Bovada | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.59%E +0.162%K +0.173%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Casumo | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| betPARX | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.82%E -0.255%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -8.63%E -0.605%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.23%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.23%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.44%E -0.995%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.64%E -1.28%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Caesars | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:13 |
| TAB | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.05%E -1.92%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -26.26%E -2.28%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.54%E -4.45%K -227.02%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.47%E -2.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.47%E -2.68%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:13 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.91%EV -5.48%E -5.42%K -547.62%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.09%EV -35.24%E -3.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 22:11 |
| 1xBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -36.20%E -3.64%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.95%EV +2.01%E +1.84%K +22.34%G +0.449% | 9.76I 10.25%NM 10.05%EV -37.42%E -3.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -39.08%E -4.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -39.98%E -4.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -39.98%E -4.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
| GTbets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.50%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.04I 11.06%NM 10.50%EV -42.03%E -4.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV +1.07%E +0.995%K +13.44%G +0.144% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -45.50%E -5.35%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -48.70%E -6.09%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +1.07%E +0.995%K +13.44%G +0.144% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -51.91%E -6.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -0.797%E -0.752%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -51.91%E -6.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:04 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.51%E -7.38%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.139%E +0.130%K +1.99%G +0.003% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.51%E -7.38%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.14% | 25.64I 3.90%NM 3.86% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 1.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |