Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Bublik (Local): 76.54%; Vit Kopriva (Visit): 23.46%. For Vit Kopriva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +9.10%E +1.96%K +2.49%G +0.227% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -10.45%E -8.93%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +7.93%E +1.72%K +2.20%G +0.175% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.45%E -8.93%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.58%E +1.24%K +1.59%G +0.089% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.23%E +0.735%K +0.951%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +1.83%E +0.421%K +0.547%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 03:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:37 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.16%E -0.519%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -8.92%E -7.50%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.21%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.21%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.19%E -3.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.501%E -0.385%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.88%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.27%E -0.982%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.23%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -23.46%E -23.46%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -76.54%E -76.54%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |