Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Bublik v Vit Kopriva

Início: 2026-03-08 03:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Previsão 76.54%1.31odd justa
EV -0.501%
Vantagem -0.385%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%76.35%76.78%79.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.231.241.30100.00%81.05%80.65%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Previsão 23.46%4.26odd justa
EV +9.10%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +2.49%
Crescimento +0.227%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.28%23.65%23.22%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.003.934.004.65100.00%25.46%25.00%21.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Bublik (Local): 76.54%; Vit Kopriva (Visitante): 23.46%. Para Vit Kopriva (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.10%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +9.10%E +1.96%K +2.49%G +0.227%4.2%2026-03-08 03:39
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -10.45%E -8.93%K -61.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +7.93%E +1.72%K +2.20%G +0.175%7.2%2026-03-08 03:34
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.45%E -8.93%K -61.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.58%E +1.24%K +1.59%G +0.089%7.7%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.23%E +0.735%K +0.951%G +0.031%4.7%2026-03-08 03:38
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +1.83%E +0.421%K +0.547%G +0.010%4.3%2026-03-08 03:29
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002%2.6%2026-03-08 03:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-08 03:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-08 03:24
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002%6.6%2026-03-08 03:37
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002%6.6%2026-03-08 03:38
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 03:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 03:19
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:19
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:34
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 03:28
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:19
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:19
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:39
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:34
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.16%E -0.519%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -8.92%E -7.50%K -46.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 03:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.21%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 03:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.21%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:39
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:39
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 03:39
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 03:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:40
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 03:33
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 03:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 03:39
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:39
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:40
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:39
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 03:39
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 03:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 03:39
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 03:40
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.19%E -3.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 03:39
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 03:39
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:39
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:39
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 03:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 03:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 03:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 03:40
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.501%E -0.385%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.88%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:19
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.27%E -0.982%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.23%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 03:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -23.46%E -23.46%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -76.54%E -76.54%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-08 03:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-08 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-03-08 03:40
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-08 03:39
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%6.3%2026-03-08 03:39