La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Bublik v Vit Kopriva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Predicción 76.54%1.31momio equitativo
EV -0.501%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%76.35%76.78%79.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.231.241.30100.00%81.05%80.65%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vit Kopriva (Visitante)
Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV +9.10%
Ventaja +1.96%
Kelly +2.49%
Crecimiento +0.227%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%23.65%23.22%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.003.934.004.65100.00%25.46%25.00%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +9.10%E +1.96%K +2.49%G +0.227% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -10.45%E -8.93%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +7.93%E +1.72%K +2.20%G +0.175% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.45%E -8.93%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.58%E +1.24%K +1.59%G +0.089% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.23%E +0.735%K +0.951%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +1.83%E +0.421%K +0.547%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 03:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.39%E -6.11%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:37 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +0.888%E +0.206%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.285%E -0.067%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.46%E -0.347%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.16%E -0.519%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -8.92%E -7.50%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -4.98%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.21%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.21%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.15%E -6.80%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.43%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.19%E -3.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.09%E -4.11%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.80%E -2.20%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.56%E -2.83%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.33%E -3.46%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.86%E -4.76%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.501%E -0.385%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.88%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.27%E -0.982%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.23%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -23.46%E -23.46%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -76.54%E -76.54%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |