语言:简体中文
Alex Michelsen v Taylor Fritz
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alex Michelsen (主队)
预测 30.39%3.29公平赔率
EV -1.25%
优势 -0.384%
Kelly -0.555%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.89%30.40%30.49%31.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.113.103.2534.48%32.21%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Taylor Fritz (客队)
预测 69.61%1.44公平赔率
EV -2.54%
优势 -1.81%
Kelly -6.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
68.08%69.60%69.51%71.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.361.4076.92%73.22%73.53%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alex Michelsen (主队)：30.39%；Taylor Fritz (客队)：69.61%。 对于“Alex Michelsen (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.29。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.25，期望值为-1.25%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.55%E -0.479%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -2.16%E -0.671%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.50%E -7.31%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.07%E -0.963%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.24%E -2.33%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 21:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.72%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -7.02%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.24%E -2.33%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.72%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 21:42 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |