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Alex Michelsen v Taylor Fritz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.39%3.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.25%
Преимущество -0.384%
Kelly -0.555%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.89%30.40%30.49%31.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.113.103.2534.48%32.21%32.26%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Taylor Fritz (Гости)
Прогноз 69.61%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.54%
Преимущество -1.81%
Kelly -6.35%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.08%69.60%69.51%71.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.371.361.4076.92%73.22%73.53%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Alex Michelsen (Хозяева): 30.39%; Taylor Fritz (Гости): 69.61%. Для исхода «Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.29. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.25, математическое ожидание — -1.25%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.55%E -0.479%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -2.16%E -0.671%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.50%E -7.31%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.07%E -0.963%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.24%E -2.33%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 21:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.72%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -7.02%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.24%E -2.33%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.72%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 21:42 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 21:50 |