مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex Michelsen v Taylor Fritz

البداية: 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex Michelsen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.39%3.29السعر العادل
EV -1.25%
الأفضلية -0.384%
Kelly -0.555%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.89%30.40%30.49%31.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.113.103.2534.48%32.21%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Taylor Fritz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.61%1.44السعر العادل
EV -2.54%
الأفضلية -1.81%
Kelly -6.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.08%69.60%69.51%71.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.371.361.4076.92%73.22%73.53%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 21:50
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.55%E -0.479%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 21:50
SportsBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -2.16%E -0.671%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 21:50
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 21:50
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 21:48
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 21:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:49
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.50%E -7.31%K -31.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 21:49
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.07%E -0.963%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.24%E -2.33%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 21:49
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 21:48
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 21:49
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 21:49
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 21:49
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:48
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:50
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:49
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.63%E -3.38%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:49
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:50
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:50
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:49
GTbets3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.72%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 21:50
DraftKings3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -7.02%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.24%E -2.33%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:50
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 21:49
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.72%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:49
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:49
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:50
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 21:50
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 21:42
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-03-09 21:50
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-03-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-09 21:50
Novig3.44I 29.07%NM 28.78%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%1.0%2026-03-09 21:50
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-03-09 21:50