语言:简体中文
Yannick Hanfmann v Joao Fonseca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Yannick Hanfmann (主队)
预测 28.89%3.46公平赔率
EV +4.01%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.54%
增长率 +0.062%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.38%29.31%28.57%39.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.373.303.453.6042.19%30.28%28.99%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
Joao Fonseca (客队)
预测 71.11%1.41公平赔率
EV +9.50%
优势 +6.17%
Kelly +17.60%
增长率 +1.67%
假设最高赔率为 1.54
博彩公司预测分布
60.61%70.69%71.43%73.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.331.301.5480.65%75.19%76.92%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yannick Hanfmann (主队)：28.89%；Joao Fonseca (客队)：71.11%。 对于“Joao Fonseca (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.41。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.54，对应+9.50%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -31.52%E -13.30%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV +9.50%E +6.17%K +17.60%G +1.67% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 22:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -17.08%E -5.95%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV +0.972%E +0.685%K +2.31%G +0.022% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -14.48%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV +0.261%E +0.185%K +0.636%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -13.90%E -4.66%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -0.450%E -0.322%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.29%E -2.42%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.29%E -2.42%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.76%E -0.519%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.21%E -0.958%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 10:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.72%E -3.52%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.14%E -4.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.56%E -5.82%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.56%E -5.82%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.13%E +0.322%K +0.450%G +0.005% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.13%E +0.322%K +0.450%G +0.005% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -11.83%E -9.54%K -49.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |