赔率学院

Yannick Hanfmann v Joao Fonseca

开赛时间: 2026-05-18 09:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (主队)

预测 28.89%3.46公平赔率
EV +4.01%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.54%
增长率 +0.062%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.38%29.31%28.57%39.39%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.373.303.453.6042.19%30.28%28.99%27.78%MIN均值中位数MAX

Joao Fonseca (客队)

预测 71.11%1.41公平赔率
EV +9.50%
优势 +6.17%
Kelly +17.60%
增长率 +1.67%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
60.61%70.69%71.43%73.62%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.241.331.301.5480.65%75.19%76.92%64.94%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -31.52%E -13.30%K -23.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV +9.50%E +6.17%K +17.60%G +1.67%7.1%2026-05-17 22:53
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -17.08%E -5.95%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV +0.972%E +0.685%K +2.31%G +0.022%5.3%2026-05-17 17:25
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -14.48%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV +0.261%E +0.185%K +0.636%G +0.002%4.7%2026-05-17 09:14
DraftKings2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -13.90%E -4.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -0.450%E -0.322%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.29%E -2.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 14:14
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.29%E -2.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:15
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.76%E -0.519%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:15
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.21%E -0.958%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 12:35
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:14
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.72%E -3.52%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:15
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:15
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:15
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:15
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.14%E -4.65%K -19.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:15
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.56%E -5.82%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.56%E -5.82%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:59
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:05
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:15
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:55
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.13%E +0.322%K +0.450%G +0.005%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.13%E +0.322%K +0.450%G +0.005%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 07:55
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -11.83%E -9.54%K -49.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%1.7%2026-05-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%8.5%2026-05-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%8.5%2026-05-17 09:15