Sprache:Deutsch
Yannick Hanfmann v Joao Fonseca
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Yannick Hanfmann (Heim)
Prognose 28.89%3.46faire Quote
EV +4.01%
Vorteil +1.12%
Kelly +1.54%
Wachstum +0.062%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.38%29.31%28.57%39.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.373.303.453.6042.19%30.28%28.99%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)
Prognose 71.11%1.41faire Quote
EV +9.50%
Vorteil +6.17%
Kelly +17.60%
Wachstum +1.67%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.61%70.69%71.43%73.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.241.331.301.5480.65%75.19%76.92%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Yannick Hanfmann (Heim): 28.89%; Joao Fonseca (Auswärts): 71.11%. Für Joao Fonseca (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.41. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.54 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +9.50%.
Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -31.52%E -13.30%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV +9.50%E +6.17%K +17.60%G +1.67% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 22:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.54%E -7.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.39%E +1.66%K +5.44%G +0.130% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -17.08%E -5.95%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV +0.972%E +0.685%K +2.31%G +0.022% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -14.48%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV +0.261%E +0.185%K +0.636%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -13.90%E -4.66%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -0.450%E -0.322%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.29%E -2.42%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.29%E -2.42%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.76%E -0.519%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.21%E -0.958%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 10:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.72%E -3.52%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.43%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.43%E -4.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.14%E -4.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.56%E -5.82%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.56%E -5.82%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.01%E +1.12%K +1.54%G +0.062% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.13%E +0.322%K +0.450%G +0.005% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.27%E -6.41%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +2.57%E +0.724%K +1.01%G +0.026% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.13%E +0.322%K +0.450%G +0.005% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.98%E -7.02%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -11.83%E -9.54%K -49.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (3)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |