Language:English
Tommy Paul v Ethan Quinn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 70.97%1.41fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.35%70.95%71.04%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.64%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ethan Quinn (Visit)
Prediction 29.03%3.45fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.455%
Kelly +0.637%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.05%28.96%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.213.203.5032.26%31.13%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 70.97%; Ethan Quinn (Visit): 29.03%. For Ethan Quinn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.59%E +0.455%K +0.637%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.148%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.34%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 14:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.63%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:22 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |