A Escola das Odds

Tommy Paul v Ethan Quinn

Início: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 70.97%1.41odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.35%70.95%71.04%72.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.64%74.63%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Previsão 29.03%3.45odd justa
EV +1.59%
Vantagem +0.455%
Kelly +0.637%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%29.05%28.96%30.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.213.203.5032.26%31.13%31.25%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.59%E +0.455%K +0.637%G +0.010%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.148%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.34%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:21
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.63%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:24
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:11
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:14
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:24
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 14:22
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25