La escuela de los momios

Tommy Paul v Ethan Quinn

Inicio: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Predicción 70.97%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.35%70.95%71.04%72.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.64%74.63%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Predicción 29.03%3.45momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.455%
Kelly +0.637%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%29.05%28.96%30.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.203.5032.26%31.13%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.59%E +0.455%K +0.637%G +0.010%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.148%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.34%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:21
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.63%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:24
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:11
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 14:25
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:14
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:25
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.78%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:24
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.61%E -4.21%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 14:22
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25