The School of Odds

Luciano Darderi v Alex de Minaur

Matchstart: 2026-05-21 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Hemma)

Prognos 36.49%2.74rättvist odds
EV +35.02%
Fördel +9.47%
Kelly +12.97%
Tillväxt +4.54%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.25%38.12%36.43%50.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.902.482.583.7052.63%40.24%38.83%27.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alex de Minaur (Borta)

Prognos 63.51%1.57rättvist odds
EV +23.20%
Fördel +11.96%
Kelly +24.69%
Tillväxt +5.73%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%61.88%63.57%74.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.251.551.471.9480.00%64.36%68.03%51.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -28.48%E -14.53%K -29.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV +23.20%E +11.96%K +24.69%G +5.73%2.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -30.66%E -16.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +20.66%E +10.88%K +22.96%G +4.74%5.3%2026-05-21 18:16
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -30.66%E -16.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +18.76%E +10.03%K +21.56%G +4.05%6.1%2026-05-21 18:17
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -29.20%E -15.05%K -31.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +18.12%E +9.74%K +21.07%G +3.82%5.3%2026-05-21 18:17
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -29.20%E -15.05%K -31.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +18.12%E +9.74%K +21.07%G +3.82%5.3%2026-05-21 18:20
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -27.75%E -14.01%K -28.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +17.49%E +9.45%K +20.58%G +3.60%4.6%2026-05-21 18:10
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +17.49%E +9.45%K +20.58%G +3.60%5.3%2026-05-21 18:07
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -27.02%E -13.51%K -27.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17%4.6%2026-05-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -27.02%E -13.51%K -27.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17%4.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17%5.9%2026-05-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -29.93%E -15.59%K -32.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17%6.7%2026-05-21 18:09
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -27.38%E -13.76%K -27.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96%5.2%2026-05-21 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -28.48%E -14.53%K -29.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96%6.0%2026-05-21 18:09
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96%6.2%2026-05-21 18:20
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -28.11%E -14.27%K -28.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +14.95%E +8.26%K +18.46%G +2.76%6.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +13.04%E +7.33%K +16.72%G +2.18%7.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +13.04%E +7.33%K +16.72%G +2.18%7.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.72%E -8.96%K -16.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.33%E +4.34%K +10.62%G +0.778%4.6%2026-05-21 18:27
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.56%E -1.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 18:30
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 18:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:30
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:30
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 18:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:30
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +5.83%E +2.01%K +3.07%G +0.179%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 18:29
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:29
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:30
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:30
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:30
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 18:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.45%E -7.41%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:30
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -10.45%E -7.41%K -25.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 18:30
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 18:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 18:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:30
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -12.99%E -9.48%K -35.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV +2.91%E +1.03%K +1.60%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -13.63%E -10.02%K -37.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 18:29
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +20.42%E +6.19%K +8.88%G +1.81%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -16.80%E -12.83%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +18.60%E +5.72%K +8.27%G +1.54%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -17.44%E -13.42%K -58.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 18:30
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +24.07%E +7.08%K +10.03%G +2.41%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -18.08%E -14.01%K -62.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:29
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +35.02%E +9.47%K +12.97%G +4.54%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -20.62%E -16.49%K -82.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-05-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%1.1%2026-05-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%1.7%2026-05-21 18:30
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-05-21 18:30
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%4.9%2026-05-21 18:30