La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Alex de Minaur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 36.49%2.74quota equa
EV +35.02%
Vantaggio +9.47%
Kelly +12.97%
Crescita +4.54%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.25%38.12%36.43%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.482.583.7052.63%40.24%38.83%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.51%1.57quota equa
EV +23.20%
Vantaggio +11.96%
Kelly +24.69%
Crescita +5.73%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%61.88%63.57%74.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.551.471.9480.00%64.36%68.03%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -28.48%E -14.53%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV +23.20%E +11.96%K +24.69%G +5.73% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -30.66%E -16.14%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +20.66%E +10.88%K +22.96%G +4.74% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:16 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -30.66%E -16.14%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +18.76%E +10.03%K +21.56%G +4.05% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:17 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -29.20%E -15.05%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +18.12%E +9.74%K +21.07%G +3.82% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:17 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -29.20%E -15.05%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +18.12%E +9.74%K +21.07%G +3.82% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -27.75%E -14.01%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +17.49%E +9.45%K +20.58%G +3.60% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +17.49%E +9.45%K +20.58%G +3.60% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:07 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -27.02%E -13.51%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -27.02%E -13.51%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -29.93%E -15.59%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:09 |
| ReBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -27.38%E -13.76%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -28.48%E -14.53%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -28.11%E -14.27%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +14.95%E +8.26%K +18.46%G +2.76% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +13.04%E +7.33%K +16.72%G +2.18% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +13.04%E +7.33%K +16.72%G +2.18% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.72%E -8.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.33%E +4.34%K +10.62%G +0.778% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:27 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.56%E -1.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +5.83%E +2.01%K +3.07%G +0.179% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.45%E -7.41%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -10.45%E -7.41%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -12.99%E -9.48%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV +2.91%E +1.03%K +1.60%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -13.63%E -10.02%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +20.42%E +6.19%K +8.88%G +1.81% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -16.80%E -12.83%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +18.60%E +5.72%K +8.27%G +1.54% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -17.44%E -13.42%K -58.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +24.07%E +7.08%K +10.03%G +2.41% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -18.08%E -14.01%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +35.02%E +9.47%K +12.97%G +4.54% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -20.62%E -16.49%K -82.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 1.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Novig | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |