La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luciano Darderi v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Predicción 36.49%2.74momio equitativo
EV +35.02%
Ventaja +9.47%
Kelly +12.97%
Crecimiento +4.54%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%38.12%36.43%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.482.583.7052.63%40.24%38.83%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 63.51%1.57momio equitativo
EV +23.20%
Ventaja +11.96%
Kelly +24.69%
Crecimiento +5.73%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%61.88%63.57%74.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.551.471.9480.00%64.36%68.03%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -28.48%E -14.53%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV +23.20%E +11.96%K +24.69%G +5.73% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -30.66%E -16.14%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +20.66%E +10.88%K +22.96%G +4.74% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:16 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -30.66%E -16.14%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +18.76%E +10.03%K +21.56%G +4.05% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:17 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -29.20%E -15.05%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +18.12%E +9.74%K +21.07%G +3.82% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:17 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -29.20%E -15.05%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +18.12%E +9.74%K +21.07%G +3.82% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -27.75%E -14.01%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +17.49%E +9.45%K +20.58%G +3.60% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +17.49%E +9.45%K +20.58%G +3.60% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:07 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -27.02%E -13.51%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -27.02%E -13.51%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -29.93%E -15.59%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +16.22%E +8.86%K +19.54%G +3.17% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:09 |
| ReBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -27.38%E -13.76%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -28.48%E -14.53%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +15.58%E +8.56%K +19.00%G +2.96% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -28.11%E -14.27%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +14.95%E +8.26%K +18.46%G +2.76% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +13.04%E +7.33%K +16.72%G +2.18% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -28.84%E -14.79%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +13.04%E +7.33%K +16.72%G +2.18% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.72%E -8.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.33%E +4.34%K +10.62%G +0.778% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:27 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.42%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.56%E -1.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.24%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +5.83%E +2.01%K +3.07%G +0.179% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.18%E +0.778%K +1.21%G +0.026% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.45%E -7.41%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -10.45%E -7.41%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -1.47%E -0.545%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV +0.354%E +0.129%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -12.99%E -9.48%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV +2.91%E +1.03%K +1.60%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -13.63%E -10.02%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +20.42%E +6.19%K +8.88%G +1.81% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -16.80%E -12.83%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +18.60%E +5.72%K +8.27%G +1.54% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -17.44%E -13.42%K -58.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +24.07%E +7.08%K +10.03%G +2.41% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -18.08%E -14.01%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 18:29 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +35.02%E +9.47%K +12.97%G +4.54% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -20.62%E -16.49%K -82.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 1.7% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |
| Novig | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:30 |