La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ignacio Buse v Jakub Mensik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Ignacio Buse (Casa)
Previsione 40.68%2.46quota equa
EV +0.079%
Vantaggio +0.032%
Kelly +0.054%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.35%40.62%40.74%42.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.332.352.4645.45%42.99%42.55%40.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.32%1.69quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.59%59.38%59.26%61.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.591.581.6565.36%62.93%63.29%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV +0.079%E +0.032%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.328%E -0.134%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.46%E -4.79%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 11:07 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.79%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 11:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 11:07 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Novig | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 11:20 |