L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ignacio Buse v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Prévision 40.68%2.46cote équitable
EV +0.079%
Avantage +0.032%
Kelly +0.054%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.35%40.62%40.74%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.352.4645.45%42.99%42.55%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.32%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%59.38%59.26%61.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.581.6565.36%62.93%63.29%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV +0.079%E +0.032%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.328%E -0.134%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.46%E -4.79%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 11:07 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.79%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 11:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 11:08 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 11:07 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 11:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 11:19 |
| Novig | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 11:20 |