Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Aleksandar Kovacevic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 85.44%1.17fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -26.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.31%85.34%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.121.121.1393.46%89.55%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visit)
Prediction 14.56%6.87fair odd
EV +9.17%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.69%14.66%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.236.137.5018.18%16.04%16.33%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 85.44%; Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visit): 14.56%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +9.17%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.129% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.17%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.129% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.48%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.52%EV +5.24%E +0.725%K +0.841%G +0.044% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +2.33%E +0.331%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.89%E +0.270%K +0.315%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -0.147%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -0.147%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.75%E -0.259%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -1.75%E -0.259%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -2.48%E -0.370%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.57%E -8.01%K -122.50%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.48%E -0.370%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.93%E -0.596%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 09:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.93%E -0.596%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 09:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.34%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.66%EV -5.10%E -0.782%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 07:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 03:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 09:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.948%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.03%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -10.48%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.21%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 22:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 06:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -18.49%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -18.49%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.94%E -3.63%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.44% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.56% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.52% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.48% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |