A Escola das Odds

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Início: 2026-05-20 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Previsão 85.44%1.17odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -3.05%
Kelly -26.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.08%85.31%85.34%87.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.121.121.1393.46%89.55%89.29%88.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante)

Previsão 14.56%6.87odd justa
EV +9.17%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.69%14.69%14.66%16.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.236.137.5018.18%16.04%16.33%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +9.17%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.129%3.4%2026-05-20 06:29
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.17%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.129%5.1%2026-05-20 06:38
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.48%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.52%EV +5.24%E +0.725%K +0.841%G +0.044%2.3%2026-05-20 09:49
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +2.33%E +0.331%K +0.386%G +0.009%5.1%2026-05-20 09:49
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.89%E +0.270%K +0.315%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-20 09:49
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -0.147%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 06:29
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -0.147%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 06:29
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.75%E -0.259%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 09:49
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -1.75%E -0.259%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 06:29
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -2.48%E -0.370%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 09:49
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.57%E -8.01%K -122.50%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.48%E -0.370%K -0.434%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.93%E -0.596%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 09:48
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.93%E -0.596%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 09:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.34%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.66%EV -5.10%E -0.782%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 07:09
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 03:09
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 09:39
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:30
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 09:49
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 09:49
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 09:49
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 09:49
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:18
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 09:49
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 09:49
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.948%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 09:49
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 06:29
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 06:39
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 06:39
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.03%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 08:29
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -10.48%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 09:48
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.21%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 09:49
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 06:29
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 09:49
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 22:30
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 22:30
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 06:29
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 08:59
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 06:38
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:59
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 06:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 06:39
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 06:29
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -18.49%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 06:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -18.49%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 06:39
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.94%E -3.63%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-05-20 09:49
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-05-20 09:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-05-20 09:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-05-20 09:49
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.44%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.56%2.1%2026-05-20 09:49
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.52%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.48%2.3%2026-05-20 09:49