La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Aleksandar Kovacevic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 85.44%1.17momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -3.05%
Kelly -26.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.08%85.31%85.34%87.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.121.1393.46%89.55%89.29%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante)
Predicción 14.56%6.87momio equitativo
EV +9.17%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%14.69%14.66%16.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.236.137.5018.18%16.04%16.33%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +9.17%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.129% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.17%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.129% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.48%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.52%EV +5.24%E +0.725%K +0.841%G +0.044% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +2.33%E +0.331%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.89%E +0.270%K +0.315%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -0.147%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -0.147%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.75%E -0.259%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -1.75%E -0.259%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -2.48%E -0.370%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.57%E -8.01%K -122.50%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.48%E -0.370%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.93%E -0.596%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 09:48 |
| ReBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.93%E -0.596%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 09:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.34%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.66%EV -5.10%E -0.782%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 07:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 03:09 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 09:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 20:30 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| BetUS | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:18 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.39%E -0.829%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.11%E -0.948%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.84%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.03%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -10.48%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 09:48 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.21%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 22:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 22:30 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.01%E -5.46%K -60.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -15.58%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 06:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.45%E -3.05%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:59 |
| Coral | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.30%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Neds | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -18.49%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -18.49%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.30%E -3.84%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.94%E -3.63%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.44% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.56% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.52% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.48% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 09:49 |