La scuola delle quote

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex de Minaur

Inizio: 2026-05-20 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Casa)

Previsione 39.80%2.51quota equa
EV +1.50%
Vantaggio +0.589%
Kelly +0.969%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.71%39.81%39.68%42.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.76%43.38%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.20%1.66quota equa
EV +0.527%
Vantaggio +0.315%
Kelly +0.786%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.14%60.19%60.32%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.581.581.6768.97%63.46%63.29%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.50%E +0.589%K +0.969%G +0.015%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 15:30
DraftKings2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV +0.307%E +0.122%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 15:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:29
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.72%E -8.77%K -28.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.50%E -5.59%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:30
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 15:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.50%E -5.59%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 15:30
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV +0.527%E +0.315%K +0.786%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-20 15:30
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:30
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 15:29
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -0.075%E -0.045%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 15:29
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.05%E -3.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.527%E +0.315%K +0.786%G +0.004%3.4%2026-05-20 15:29
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:24
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:30
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.25%E -4.06%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:10
ReBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.25%E -4.06%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:10
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 15:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 15:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:24
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:10
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:28
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 15:28
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 15:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -11.63%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 15:24
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -11.63%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 15:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%5.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%7.7%2026-05-20 15:30