L’École des cotes

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex de Minaur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Prévision 39.80%2.51cote équitable
EV +1.50%
Avantage +0.589%
Kelly +0.969%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.71%39.81%39.68%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.76%43.38%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.20%1.66cote équitable
EV +0.527%
Avantage +0.315%
Kelly +0.786%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%60.19%60.32%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.581.581.6768.97%63.46%63.29%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.50%E +0.589%K +0.969%G +0.015%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 15:30
DraftKings2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV +0.307%E +0.122%K +0.202%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 15:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:29
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.72%E -8.77%K -28.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.50%E -5.59%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:30
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 15:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.50%E -5.59%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 15:30
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV +0.527%E +0.315%K +0.786%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-20 15:30
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:30
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 15:29
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -0.075%E -0.045%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 15:29
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.05%E -3.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.527%E +0.315%K +0.786%G +0.004%3.4%2026-05-20 15:29
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:24
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:30
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.25%E -4.06%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:10
ReBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.25%E -4.06%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:10
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 15:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 15:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:24
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:10
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:28
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 15:28
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 15:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:30
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -11.63%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 15:24
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -11.63%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 15:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-05-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%5.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%7.7%2026-05-20 15:30