La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 39.80%2.51momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.589%
Kelly +0.969%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.71%39.81%39.68%42.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.76%43.38%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 60.20%1.66momio equitativo
EV +0.527%
Ventaja +0.315%
Kelly +0.786%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%60.19%60.32%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.581.581.6768.97%63.46%63.29%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.50%E +0.589%K +0.969%G +0.015% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV +0.307%E +0.122%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 15:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.72%E -8.77%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.50%E -5.59%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.50%E -5.59%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV +0.527%E +0.315%K +0.786%G +0.004% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.71%E -6.47%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-20 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -0.075%E -0.045%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 15:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.05%E -3.49%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.527%E +0.315%K +0.786%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 15:29 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.25%E -4.06%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| ReBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.25%E -4.06%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 15:28 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 15:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 15:20 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.91%E -7.37%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.28%E -0.780%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -11.63%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -11.63%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.677%E -0.411%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 15:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Novig | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |