Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs v Taylor Fritz

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 09:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prediction 22.60%4.43fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%22.75%22.51%25.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.064.004.6427.03%24.64%25.00%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visit)

Prediction 77.40%1.29fair odd
EV -0.148%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.70%77.25%77.49%79.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.231.2983.33%81.03%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 22.60%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 77.40%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV +4.84%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -0.580%E -0.132%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 09:30
1xBet🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -1.94%E -0.446%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 09:29
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.16%E -0.499%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:30
Pinnacle🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%EV -2.39%E -0.553%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:30
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -3.29%E -0.769%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -3.29%E -0.769%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 09:29
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:30
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 09:30
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:28
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:29
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 09:30
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:29
BetAnything🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -6.00%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 09:30
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.49%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.49%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Fliff🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:29
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Bally Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
GTbets🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -11.65%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -0.148%E -0.115%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:29
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.47%E -1.96%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:30
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -1.70%E -1.34%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:28
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%2.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-06-17 09:30