L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Taylor Fritz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 09:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

67 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 22.60%4.43cote équitable
EV +4.84%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%22.75%22.51%25.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.064.004.6427.03%24.64%25.00%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.40%1.29cote équitable
EV -0.148%
Avantage -0.115%
Kelly -0.510%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.70%77.25%77.49%79.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.231.231.2983.33%81.03%81.30%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (67 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV +4.84%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 09:30
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -0.580%E -0.132%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 09:30
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -1.94%E -0.446%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 09:29
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.16%E -0.499%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:30
Pinnacle4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%EV -2.39%E -0.553%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:30
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 09:30
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:29
LowVig.ag4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -3.29%E -0.769%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetOnline.ag4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -3.29%E -0.769%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 09:29
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 09:30
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 09:30
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:28
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:29
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 09:30
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:29
BetAnything4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -6.00%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:30
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 09:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 09:30
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.49%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.49%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:29
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
GTbets3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -11.65%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -0.148%E -0.115%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:29
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.47%E -1.96%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:30
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -1.70%E -1.34%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:28
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%2.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-06-17 09:30