La escuela de los momios

Zizou Bergs v Taylor Fritz

Inicio: 2026-06-17 09:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Predicción 22.60%4.43momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%22.75%22.51%25.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.064.004.6427.03%24.64%25.00%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Taylor Fritz (Visitante)

Predicción 77.40%1.29momio equitativo
EV -0.148%
Ventaja -0.115%
Kelly -0.510%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.70%77.25%77.49%79.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.231.231.2983.33%81.03%81.30%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV +4.84%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 09:30
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -0.580%E -0.132%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 09:30
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -1.94%E -0.446%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 09:29
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.16%E -0.499%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:30
Pinnacle4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%EV -2.39%E -0.553%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:30
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 09:30
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.84%E -0.660%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:29
LowVig.ag4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -3.29%E -0.769%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetOnline.ag4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -3.29%E -0.769%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 09:29
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 09:30
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 09:30
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:28
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:29
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:30
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:29
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 09:30
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:29
BetAnything4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -6.00%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:30
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 09:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 09:30
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.49%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.49%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:29
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.11%E -5.93%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
GTbets3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -11.65%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -0.148%E -0.115%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:29
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.47%E -1.96%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:30
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:30
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -1.70%E -1.34%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 09:30
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:28
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.24%E -2.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-17 09:30
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%2.4%2026-06-17 09:30
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-06-17 09:30