La scuola delle quote

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Daniil Medvedev

Inizio: 2026-06-16 15:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa)

Previsione 20.71%4.83quota equa
EV +1.88%
Vantaggio +0.382%
Kelly +0.479%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%20.77%20.69%23.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.504.504.9225.00%22.22%22.22%20.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta)

Previsione 79.29%1.26quota equa
EV -0.091%
Vantaggio -0.072%
Kelly -0.349%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.63%79.23%79.31%80.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.30%83.33%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV +1.88%E +0.382%K +0.479%G +0.009%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.26%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.46%E +0.299%K +0.375%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 15:31
DraftKings4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +0.015%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:29
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:30
BetOnline.ag4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 15:30
LowVig.ag4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:30
GTbets4.64I 21.55%NM 21.36%EV -3.92%E -0.845%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.64%EV -0.091%E -0.072%K -0.349%G +0.000%0.9%2026-06-16 15:29
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:29
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 15:31
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -5.99%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:31
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 15:28
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:31
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:28
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:29
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:30
BetAnything4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:30
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:29
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:31
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 15:30
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:26
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-16 15:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-16 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-16 15:31
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-16 15:31
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Novig4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%3.7%2026-06-16 15:29