مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-06-16 15:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.71%4.83السعر العادل
EV +1.88%
الأفضلية +0.382%
Kelly +0.479%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.66%20.77%20.69%23.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.504.504.9225.00%22.22%22.22%20.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 79.29%1.26السعر العادل
EV -0.091%
الأفضلية -0.072%
Kelly -0.349%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.63%79.23%79.31%80.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.30%83.33%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV +1.88%E +0.382%K +0.479%G +0.009%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.26%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.46%E +0.299%K +0.375%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 15:31
DraftKings4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +0.015%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:29
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:30
BetOnline.ag4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 15:30
LowVig.ag4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:30
GTbets4.64I 21.55%NM 21.36%EV -3.92%E -0.845%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.64%EV -0.091%E -0.072%K -0.349%G +0.000%0.9%2026-06-16 15:29
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:29
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 15:31
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -5.99%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:31
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 15:28
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:31
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:28
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:29
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:30
BetAnything4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:30
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:29
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:31
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 15:30
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:26
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-16 15:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-16 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-16 15:31
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-16 15:31
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Novig4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%3.7%2026-06-16 15:29