L’École des cotes

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Daniil Medvedev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 15:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Prévision 20.71%4.83cote équitable
EV +1.88%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%20.77%20.69%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.504.504.9225.00%22.22%22.22%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.29%1.26cote équitable
EV -0.091%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.349%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%79.23%79.31%80.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.30%83.33%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV +1.88%E +0.382%K +0.479%G +0.009%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.26%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.46%E +0.299%K +0.375%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 15:31
DraftKings4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +0.015%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:29
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:30
BetOnline.ag4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 15:30
LowVig.ag4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:30
GTbets4.64I 21.55%NM 21.36%EV -3.92%E -0.845%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.64%EV -0.091%E -0.072%K -0.349%G +0.000%0.9%2026-06-16 15:29
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:29
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:31
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 15:31
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -5.99%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:31
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 15:28
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:31
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:29
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:28
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:29
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:30
BetAnything4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:30
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:29
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 15:30
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:31
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 15:30
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:26
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:31
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-16 15:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-16 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-16 15:31
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-16 15:31
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-06-16 15:31
Novig4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%3.7%2026-06-16 15:29