La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Predicción 20.71%4.83momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.382%
Kelly +0.479%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.66%20.77%20.69%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.504.504.9225.00%22.22%22.22%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 79.29%1.26momio equitativo
EV -0.091%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.349%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%79.23%79.31%80.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.30%83.33%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV +1.88%E +0.382%K +0.479%G +0.009% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.26%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.46%E +0.299%K +0.375%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| DraftKings | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +0.015%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.346%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.68%E -0.570%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.615%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| GTbets | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.36%EV -3.92%E -0.845%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.64%EV -0.091%E -0.072%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Bally Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.75%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| 1xBet | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -5.99%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 15:28 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 15:28 |
| Betsson | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.82%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.85%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.34%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Everygame | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| SportsBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.00%E -2.82%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 15:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 15:31 |
| Novig | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 15:29 |