Szkoła Kursów

Fabian Marozsan v Miomir Kecmanovic

Początek: 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.91%2.51kurs godziwy
EV -0.217%
Przewaga -0.087%
Kelly -0.144%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.81%39.91%39.82%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.11%42.02%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miomir Kecmanovic (Goście)

Prognoza 60.09%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -0.256%
Przewaga -0.154%
Kelly -0.388%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.09%60.18%62.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.571.571.6665.79%63.54%63.69%60.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.217%E -0.087%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 13:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.217%E -0.087%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 13:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -0.857%E -0.519%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 13:20
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:19
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -0.256%E -0.154%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 13:19
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 13:20
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.80%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 13:14
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 13:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -9.40%E -4.14%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%3.5%2026-06-16 13:20