Die Wettquotenschule

Fabian Marozsan v Miomir Kecmanovic

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Heim)

Prognose 39.91%2.51faire Quote
EV -0.217%
Vorteil -0.087%
Kelly -0.144%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.81%39.91%39.82%41.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.11%42.02%40.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.09%1.66faire Quote
EV -0.256%
Vorteil -0.154%
Kelly -0.388%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.14%60.09%60.18%62.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.521.571.571.6665.79%63.54%63.69%60.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.217%E -0.087%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 13:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.217%E -0.087%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 13:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -0.857%E -0.519%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 13:20
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:19
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -0.256%E -0.154%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 13:19
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 13:20
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.80%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 13:14
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 13:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -9.40%E -4.14%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%3.5%2026-06-16 13:20