La scuola delle quote

Fabian Marozsan v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inizio: 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Casa)

Previsione 39.91%2.51quota equa
EV -0.217%
Vantaggio -0.087%
Kelly -0.144%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.81%39.91%39.82%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.11%42.02%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.09%1.66quota equa
EV -0.256%
Vantaggio -0.154%
Kelly -0.388%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%60.09%60.18%62.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.571.571.6665.79%63.54%63.69%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.217%E -0.087%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 13:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.217%E -0.087%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.21%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 13:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -0.857%E -0.519%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 13:20
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:19
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -0.256%E -0.154%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 13:19
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.26%E -4.02%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:19
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 13:20
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.80%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 13:14
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.03%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 13:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -9.40%E -4.14%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%3.5%2026-06-16 13:20