Language:English
Daniel Altmaier v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.07%28.88%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.5033.33%30.98%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 71.05%1.41fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.93%71.12%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.59%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 28.95%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 71.05%. For Daniel Altmaier (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.32%E +0.378%K +0.529%G +0.007% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +1.03%E +0.296%K +0.414%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +1.03%E +0.296%K +0.414%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.126%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -1.28%E -0.376%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.57%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.57%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 15:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.31%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -6.21%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.76%EV -7.07%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 15:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 15:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37% | 3.0% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |