Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniel Altmaier v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-06-20 15:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

67 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Previsão 28.95%3.45odd justa
EV +1.32%
Vantagem +0.378%
Kelly +0.529%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%29.07%28.88%31.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.203.5033.33%30.98%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 71.05%1.41odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -7.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%70.93%71.12%72.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.59%74.63%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 28.95%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 71.05%. Para Daniel Altmaier (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.45. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (67 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.32%E +0.378%K +0.529%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +1.03%E +0.296%K +0.414%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +1.03%E +0.296%K +0.414%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.126%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 15:39
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -1.28%E -0.376%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 15:40
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.57%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 15:40
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.57%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 15:39
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 15:40
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 15:38
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.31%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:39
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 15:39
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 15:39
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 15:40
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:39
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:38
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:39
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:31
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 15:39
GTbets🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -6.21%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 15:39
DraftKings🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.76%EV -7.07%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 15:40
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:39
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 15:40
Fliff🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 15:39
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 15:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 15:39
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 15:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 15:39
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 15:38
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:39
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:40
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 15:39
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 15:38
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 15:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%3.0%2026-06-20 15:39