مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniel Altmaier v Frances Tiafoe

البداية: 2026-06-20 15:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

67 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.95%3.45السعر العادل
EV +1.32%
الأفضلية +0.378%
Kelly +0.529%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.08%29.07%28.88%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.233.203.5033.33%30.98%31.25%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Frances Tiafoe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.05%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.66%
الأفضلية -1.94%
Kelly -7.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%70.93%71.12%72.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.59%74.63%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (67 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.32%E +0.378%K +0.529%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:40
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +1.03%E +0.296%K +0.414%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 15:39
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +1.03%E +0.296%K +0.414%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.126%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 15:39
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -1.28%E -0.376%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 15:40
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.57%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 15:40
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.57%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 15:39
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 15:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 15:39
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 15:38
1xBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.31%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:39
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 15:39
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 15:39
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 15:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:40
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:39
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:39
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:38
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:39
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:31
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 15:40
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 15:39
GTbets3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -6.21%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 15:39
DraftKings3.21I 31.15%NM 29.76%EV -7.07%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 15:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 15:39
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:39
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:39
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 15:40
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 15:39
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 15:39
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 15:39
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:40
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 15:39
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 15:39
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 15:39
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 15:38
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:39
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 15:40
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 15:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 15:38
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 15:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-06-20 15:40
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%3.0%2026-06-20 15:39