Language:English
Ben Shelton v Lorenzo Sonego
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prediction 76.89%1.30fair odd
EV -0.811%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%76.71%76.92%78.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.241.231.2985.47%80.95%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Sonego (Visit)
Prediction 23.11%4.33fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.494%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%23.29%23.08%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.054.164.4028.57%24.71%24.04%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 76.89%; Lorenzo Sonego (Visit): 23.11%. For Lorenzo Sonego (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.494%G +0.008% | 3.4% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -10.04%E -8.58%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.494%G +0.008% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.524%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 11:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.79%E -0.420%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.79%E -0.420%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 11:47 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.10%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 11:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.35%E -1.85%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 11:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.35%E -1.85%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -16.81%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -0.811%E -0.628%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -19.12%E -5.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -19.12%E -5.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |