L’École des cotes

Ben Shelton v Lorenzo Sonego

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 76.89%1.30cote équitable
EV -0.811%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.07%76.71%76.92%78.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.241.231.2985.47%80.95%81.30%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lorenzo Sonego (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.11%4.33cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.494%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%23.29%23.08%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.054.164.4028.57%24.71%24.04%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.494%G +0.008%3.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -10.04%E -8.58%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.494%G +0.008%8.2%2026-06-17 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.524%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.3%2026-06-17 11:48
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.79%E -0.420%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.79%E -0.420%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-17 11:50
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:47
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:50
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.10%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:50
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:50
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:50
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:50
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:50
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:49
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 11:50
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:50
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:50
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:50
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:50
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.35%E -1.85%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 11:50
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:48
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.35%E -1.85%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:50
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 11:50
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -16.81%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -0.811%E -0.628%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -19.12%E -5.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -19.12%E -5.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-06-17 11:50