A Escola das Odds

Ben Shelton v Lorenzo Sonego

Início: 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 76.89%1.30odd justa
EV -0.811%
Vantagem -0.628%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.07%76.71%76.92%78.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.241.231.2985.47%80.95%81.30%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lorenzo Sonego (Visitante)

Previsão 23.11%4.33odd justa
EV +1.68%
Vantagem +0.382%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.01%23.29%23.08%26.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.054.164.4028.57%24.71%24.04%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.494%G +0.008%3.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -10.04%E -8.58%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.494%G +0.008%8.2%2026-06-17 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.524%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.3%2026-06-17 11:48
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.79%E -0.420%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.79%E -0.420%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-17 11:50
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:50
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.94%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:47
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:50
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.10%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:50
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:50
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:50
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.25%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:50
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.42%E -4.41%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:50
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:49
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 11:50
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:50
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:50
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.12%E -2.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:50
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:50
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.35%E -1.85%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:50
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 11:50
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:48
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.19%E -5.08%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.35%E -1.85%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:50
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.66%E -3.75%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -14.50%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 11:50
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -16.81%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -0.811%E -0.628%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -19.12%E -5.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 11:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -19.12%E -5.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-17 11:50
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-06-17 11:50
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-06-17 11:50