Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrey Rublev v Hubert Hurkacz

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -0.097%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.83%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.50%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)

Prediction 50.05%2.00fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.17%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.881.9654.64%53.09%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 49.95%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 50.05%. For Andrey Rublev (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.097%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.097%E -0.048%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 11:50
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 11:49
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -1.90%E -0.972%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 11:50
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:50
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:48
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%3.4%2026-06-16 11:50