Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Previsão 49.95%2.00odd justa
EV -0.097%
Vantagem -0.048%
Kelly -0.097%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.83%50.00%51.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.50%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 50.05%2.00odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.972%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.65%50.17%50.00%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.881.881.9654.64%53.09%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Andrey Rublev (Local): 49.95%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 50.05%. Para Andrey Rublev (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.002. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.000, com valor esperado de -0.097%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.097%E -0.048%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 11:50
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 11:49
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -1.90%E -0.972%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 11:50
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:50
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:48
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%3.4%2026-06-16 11:50