L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Hubert Hurkacz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 49.95%2.00cote équitable
EV -0.097%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.83%50.00%51.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.50%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.05%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.972%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.65%50.17%50.00%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.881.881.9654.64%53.09%53.19%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.097%E -0.048%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 11:50
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 11:49
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -1.90%E -0.972%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 11:50
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:49
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:49
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:50
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:50
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:50
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:48
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 11:49
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-16 11:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-06-16 11:50
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%3.4%2026-06-16 11:50