Language:English
Alexei Popyrin v Raphael Collignon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%39.88%39.87%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.402.4543.48%41.92%41.75%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raphael Collignon (Visit)
Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.12%60.13%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6465.79%63.68%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 39.85%; Raphael Collignon (Visit): 60.15%. For Raphael Collignon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.64, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.36%E -0.964%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.36%E -0.964%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 06:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 06:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -1.36%E -0.828%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 06:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 06:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.75%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.56%E -1.58%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 07:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 03:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 07:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.37%E -4.79%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.58%E -5.64%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 07:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Novig◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |